With Louisiana’s statewide elections still more than seven months away, an early survey indicates that Republicans likely have an edge this fall, but no candidates have gained enough support to avoid a runoff.
In the governor’s race, Republican U.S. Sen. David Vitter and Democratic state Rep. John Bel Edwards have the early lead, polling at 35 percent and 33 percent, respectively.
About 15 percent of respondents prefer Republican Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne, while Republican Scott Angelle polled at 7 percent. About 11 percent of respondents said they are still undecided.
A candidate would need to get more than 50 percent of the vote in the Oct. 24 primary to avoid a runoff on Nov. 21.
The poll was conducted by well-connected, Mississippi-based Republican campaign consultant Triumph Campaigns.
Triumph owner Justin Brasell told The Advocate that the poll “was conducted independently of any of the campaigns.”
In the lieutenant governor’s race, about 33 percent of respondents backed Baton Rouge Mayor Kip Holden, a Democrat. Republicans Billy Nungesser and John Young trailed Holden, polling at 23 percent and 20 percent respectively. About 22 percent of those surveyed remain undecided in the lieutenant governor’s race, while Republican state Sen. Elbert Guillory got about 2 percent.
The state-wide survey included 1,655 likely voters and was conducted March 5. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percent.
Some additional highlights from the poll:
— Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal’s disapproval rating has hit 63 percent among respondents in this poll. About 27 percent of those surveyed approve of Jindal’s job performance, while another 10 percent said they were undecided.
— The survey’s respondents, in general, are cynical about politics. Just 31 percent of those polled believe Louisiana’s headed in the right direction, while 69 percent say the state’s headed in the wrong direction.
— In a generic matchup for the governor’s race, respondents said they were more likely to vote for a Republican than a Democrat.
— In the attorney general’s race, incumbent Republican Buddy Caldwell and Jacque Roy, the Democratic mayor of Alexandria, each pulled 30 percent in the poll. Former Congressman Jeff Landry, a Republican, got about 20 percent, while 21 percent of respondents remain undecided in the match-up.
— Incumbent Republican Insurance Commissioner Jim Donelon had a clear lead in the poll in his re-election race against Republican challenger Matt Parker, pulling 45 percent to Parker’s 13 percent, but about 41 percent of respondents said they remain undecided.