High temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, the continuing multi-decade active hurricane cycle and the possibility of La Niña reforming all point to an active hurricane season during the next several months.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration released its mid-season forecast Thursday and raised confidence in the fact that this year will be an above average season.

Including the five tropical storms that have occurred, NOAA is calling for 14 to 19 named storms with seven to 10 of those storms becoming hurricanes.

Of those hurricanes, NOAA forecasts that three to five of those could become major hurricanes with winds of 111 miles per hour or more.

That’s slightly up from the May forecast when NOAA called for 12 to 18 named storms with six to 10 of them becoming hurricanes and three to six of those becoming major hurricanes.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.