One of the demographics in a poll published in The New York Times last week measured the presidential primary preferences in Iowa of “likely caucus goers who say they get most of their information from Fox News.”
Four of 10 in that particular glaring say Newt Gingrich should be president. It’s an interesting, but not necessarily surprising outcome. Ask middle-aged white guys in Baton Rouge this, and Les Miles is elected.
These are interesting facts to keep in mind while thumbing through the passel of recently released polls and rankings.
Taken together, the polls’ findings seem to say that Gov. Bobby Jindal “is the most popular governor in America,” over one of the “worst run states” in the U.S. Our next governor, if the polls are to be believed, will be New Orleans businessman John Georges, who will beat U.S. Sen. David Vitter in a runoff.
Georges, who ran unsuccessfully for governor in 2007 and for mayor of New Orleans a year later, commissioned Market Research Insight, based in Gulf Breeze, Fla., to solicit the opinions over the phone between Nov. 28 and Dec. 1 of 600 people who voted in Louisiana’s Oct. 22 primary.
Georges, who built a billion dollar grocery business, was not as well recognized as politicians like Lt. Gov. Jay Dardenne and State Treasurer John N. Kennedy, according to the poll that Georges released last week. But when given a brief resume and a summary of his stands on various issues, 63 percent the voters polled said they would consider Georges for governor. He would win in a runoff against Vitter, according to his poll. Georges’ poll found that 57 percent of those polled felt Jindal should not for a third term in eight years when he is eligible again.
Georges polled 34 percent of the vote in his poll, followed by Vitter with 22 percent then Dardenne and Kennedy. In the two-man “trial heat,” Georges got 41 percent and Vitter came in at 39 percent.
Forty-six percent of those questioned in Georges’ poll identified themselves as Democrats and 41 percent as Republicans. Whites comprised 73 percent of the sample, according to the report. About 52 percent of those polled were over the age of 55 and 49 percent made less than $40,000 a year. The poll has a 4 percent margin of error.
On the other hand, a poll conducted by OnMessage Inc., based in Alexandria, Va., found that 74 percent of the state’s voters – or at least those questioned – thought Jindal was doing a great job.
OnMessage conducted phone interviews from Nov. 8 to Nov. 10. The firm put together Jindal’s survey from the answers of 500 people who voted in the primary election and 300 who did not. Self-described “conservatives” comprised 57.2 percent of the respondents, 73.6 were whites, 61 percent were 56 years or older, 28.6 percent Democrat, 36.8 percent Republicans. The poll has a 4.4 margin error for primary voters and a 5.7 percent error margin for those questioned who didn’t vote in the primary.
The poll results debunk the “myth” that the election “would have been different if everyone showed up,” according to Timmy Teepell, Jindal’s top advisor, when he released the poll last week.
Fifty-six percent of primary voters questioned and 55 percent of those who did not vote Oct. 22 say the state is headed in the right direction, according to the poll’s report.
A Nov. 28 ranking by 24/7 Wall Street, a well-regarded New York blog for global equity investors, analyzed data on financial health, standard of living and government services for all 50 states, then ranked Louisiana as No. 42 in its list of “Best and Worst Run States in America.”
Louisiana is faulted for its AA bond credit rating, ranking 10th highest in the percentage of residents without health care coverage and the 5th lowest in percentage of adults with a high school diploma, according to 24/7 Wall Street.
Irish philosopher Edmund Burke argued that officials should make decisions based on a hard look at facts through a filter of morals and experiences shared with their constituents. But his “wardrobe of a moral imagination” condemns making decisions based on popular whims that often recreate assumptions falsely.
Or, to be current, the truth of LSU football team’s accomplishments since September should not be discounted or memorialized based on the Jan. 10 opinions of a bunch of sports writers.
Mark Ballard is editor of The Advocate’s Capitol news bureau. His email address is firstname.lastname@example.org.