Rains and violent weather up north is an indication that we’re in the last days of Louisiana summer, and we’re seeing that rainfall show up here and in the rising rivers.

And that prompts a question: Ever notice how there’s seldom anything good that comes during those two or three weeks when the seasons change?

Yes, we’ll trade afternoon thunderstorms for tornadoes, and, certainly, trade an approaching cold front for the any threat of a tropical depression, but all that won’t quiet the problems changing weather patterns will bring this weekend, when the first day of fall arrives.

Late summer east winds are seldom good, and the folks along the east side of the Mississippi River can expect to see rising water until a not-so-cold cold front is predicted to move in Monday, but that usually means extra-good coastal and freshwater action when the north winds come to push water from the marsh and down rain-swollen rivers.

Weather

A wave pushing in from the east will bring 5-10 knot winds Friday, then 10-15 knot easterly winds through the weekend in advance of Monday’s push from the north. Expect afternoon thunderstorms, and 1-2 foot nearshore conditions east of the river and 2-4 footers along the Central Coast with low-to-mid 70s in the morning and upper-80s for afternoons.

The Mississippi River is on a rise and is predicted to push from 8.9 feet to 12.7 at Baton Rouge and 3.9 to 4.2 feet at New Orleans.

Freshwater

With waters rising gently each day, the action in the Atchafalaya Spillway has remained solid on bass and sac-a-lait.

Bass continue to seek out the areas in front of cypress trees where shad hover in the shade of the branches in the morning hours. As the sun gets higher in the sky, the shad have a tendency to move out into the moving water of the main bayous and school at the first deeper-water area they can find in an area, and reports are it takes the bass an hour or two move with them.

Spinnerbaits and some topwaters are working in the early hours. Use frogs in heavily grassed areas around the trees. Green/pearl and pearl-colored swimbaits are working around grass near trees and area with water hyacinths. “Punching” grass is working, too, using June Bug-colored D-bombs, Sweet Beavers and Brush Hogs.

Sac-a-lait are feeding on schooling shad off the banks even into the middle of bayous and canals, especially where you can find submerged grass beds.

Look for similar patterns in the Lake Verret and Des Allemands basins.

The coast

With winds and seas up, look inside for weekend action. The Delacroix and lower Terrebonne Parish marshes are first-rate spots to catch redfish on spoons, Gulp! Shrimp and live bait.