My recent piece on armed robberies was focused on comparing citywide trends with those of Uptown in general, and specifically ZIP code 70118. Expanding that analysis is possible by breaking down all armed robberies and carjackings from 2011 to present by ZIP code.
The results are in the table below. This table provides the average number of armed robberies per ZIP code from 2011 to 2014, the number in each ZIP code in 2014, and the number of armed robberies per ZIP code in the last 365, 180 and 60 days.
Armed Robberies by Zip Code, 2011 – mid-October 2015. Source: NOPD.
The heaviest concentrations of armed robberies in New Orleans are ZIP codes 70119 (Mid-City), 70116 (French Quarter), and 70117 (St Roch, Bywater, Marigny & 9th Ward). The lightest concentrations are in 70124 (Lakeview, Lake Terrace and Lake Vista) and 70131 (English Turn).
The analysis is even more interesting if we break down the percentage of citywide armed robberies in each ZIP code relative to the population there. For population figures I used the Data Center’s monthly population indicator for September 2015. ZIP code 70116 (which includes the French Quarter and parts of Treme and Faubourg Marigny), for example, has experienced armed robberies at 6.8 percentage points above its population size from 2011 to 2014. (What that means is that it has 4.4 percent of the city’s population, but has experienced 11.2 percent of its armed robberies over that time.)
Armed Robberies by Zip Code Relative to Population, 2011 – mid-October 2015. Source: NOPD.
Looking at armed robberies in this manner helps identify changing patterns. There are always lots of armed robberies in the French Quarter, though this method shows an increase there in the last 60 days. Similarly, Uptown ZIP codes 70115 and 70118 (where Atchafalaya, Patois and Monkey Hill Bar all reside) have both experienced armed robberies well above their average since 2011 since the start of August.
On a more positive note, the above chart shows a reduction in armed robberies in ZIP code 70117 (St Roch and the 9th Ward) over the last 60 days after a substantial rise there over the last six months.
Evaluating armed robberies in this manner allows us to see citywide trends. The surge in Uptown armed robberies is real, although this analysis reveals the crime of armed robbery is widespread throughout the city.