Behind the Numbers: Inside look at disturbing trending of skyrocketing New Orleans armed robberies _lowres


Several highprofile armed robberies in August and September brought awareness of that crime to the forefront of New Orleans’ attention. Some of the focus on armed robbery has waned in the few weeks, but reviewing citywide trends as of mid-November shows the depth of the city’s problems.

Overall gun violence in New Orleans is down in 2015, but the prevalence of armed robberies this year threatens the city’s progress against gun crimes.

New Orleans is on pace for more than 100 armed robberies in November through the month’s first 11 days. This pace, if realized, would represent the fourth straight month with more than 90 armed robberies in New Orleans. For perspective, there were only four total months with over 90 armed robberies between January 2010 and July 2015, when this streak started.

Within the category of armed robberies, a decidedly negative trend has been a substantial rise in carjackings since late 2013. There has been a 109 percent rise in carjacking totals from 2011 levels, contributing mightily to the overall rise in armed robberies in New Orleans.

One interesting changing trend is a rise in armed robberies taking place earlier in the day. A plurality of armed robberies happen between 6 p.m. and midnight, but more and more are occurring before noon.


This analysis shows that armed robberies have been steadily rising in the city. They rose by more than 37 percent from 2013 to 2014, and the city is on pace to see another 3 percent rise from 2014 to 2015 as of mid-November. It is essential to find effective solutions to reduce these crimes citywide and prevent another increase in 2016.