The latest independent poll in the Louisiana governor’s race suggests that Republican David Vitter is making some gains on his Democratic rival John Bel Edwards.
The JMC Analytics poll on the governor’s race has Vitter at 43 percent to Edwards’ 47 percent.
The poll was conducted Nov. 19 and has a 3.9 percent margin of error.
The last JMC poll, conducted earlier this week, had Edwards above the 50 percent threshold and with a double-digit lead over Vitter.
According to the new poll, undecided voters still favor Edwards over Vitter, but also under a narrower margin.
The poll found that Vitter’s gambit on focusing on Syrian refugees has benefited him some.
“In conclusion, the race has tightened substantially; the question is whether that will make the difference with (1)
the election’s being tomorrow, and (2) the fact that as of last night, 267,983 early/absentee votes were cast largely
before the Syrian refugee crisis,” pollster John Couvillon writes in his analysis. [See the full poll and demographic breakdown here.]
Michael Henderson, of LSU’s Manship School of Mass Communication, writes in a new blog post that when looking at the averages “for the Louisiana runoff polls it is hard to escape a double digit lead for Edwards.”
Looking at possible scenarios for a Vitter win, Henderson writes that it’s possible for Vitter to see a late surge.
“Whether it will be enough for Vitter to win…I’m skeptical because that bar is getting harder and harder to reach, but it would foolish, I think, to say it is out of reach,” Henderson writes.
Polls open for the Edwards vs. Vitter runoff at 7 a.m. Saturday and close at 8 p.m. Find your voting location and more details here.